The three scenarios for technology innovation are:
- Conservative Technology Innovation Scenario (Conservative Scenario): no change from baseline CAPEX and O&M costs through 2050
- Moderate Technology Innovation Scenario (Moderate Scenario):
no change from baseline CAPEX and O&M costs through 2050, consistent with the Reference case in the DOE Hydropower Vision study (DOE, 2016)
- Advanced Technology Innovation Scenario (Advanced Scenario): CAPEX reductions based on improved process and design improvements along with advanced manufacturing, new materials, and other technology improvements, consistent with Advanced Technology in the DOE Hydropower Vision study (DOE, 2016); no changes to O&M.
Resource categorization is forthcoming and will accompany the national closed-loop PSH resource assessment. Resource classes will be differentiated by cost as well as other factors that could include reservoir size, generating capacity, storage duration, and dam height.
Cost reductions in the Advanced Scenario reflect various types of technology innovations that could be applied to PSH facilities. These potential innovations, which are discussed in the DOE Hydropower Vision Roadmap (DOE, 2016), are largely similar to technology pathways for hydropower without pumping.
Summary of Technology Innovation: Advanced Scenario
|Modularity||New Materials||Eco-Friendly Pumps & Turbines||Innovative Closed-Loop Concepts|
|Technology Descriptions||"Drop-in" systems that minimize civil works and maximize ease of manufacture||Use of alternative materials for water diversion (e.g., penstocks)||Innovative approaches to improved environmental performance||Off-river designs allowing better combined economic and environmental performance|
|Impacts||Reduced civil works cost||Reduced construction material costs||Reduced environmental mitigation costs||Reduced environmental costs and increased modularity and standardization|
|References||(DOE, 2016)||(DOE, 2016)||(DOE, 2016)||(DOE, 2016)|
Representative technology characteristics will be included with the forthcoming national closed-loop PSH resource assessment.
This section describes the methodology to develop assumptions for CAPEX, O&M, and RTE.
Capital Expenditures (CAPEX)
Resource characterizations are forthcoming and will accompany the national closed-loop PSH resource assessment.
Operation and Maintenance (O&M) Costs
Mongird et al. (Mongird et al., 2020) characterize PSH O&M costs using a literature review of current sources of PSH cost and performance data. For the ATB, we use cost estimates for a 1,000-MW plant, which has lower labor costs per power output capacity than a smaller facility. O&M costs also include component costs for standard maintenance, refurbishment, and repair. O&M cost reductions are not projected
RTE is also based on a literature review by (Mongird et al., 2020), who report a range of 70%–87% across several sources. The value of 80% is taken as a central estimate, and no improvements are projected due to
The following references are specific to this page; for all references in this ATB, see References.