About the 2022 Electricity ATB
With the increasing reliance of energy analysis on data and modeling tools, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) developed the ATB products to:
- Develop and document transparent, normalized technology cost and performance assumptions using published sources
- Document potential pathways for impacts of R&D on renewable energy technologies
- Enable consistency in technology assumptions across analysis projects
- Facilitate the tracking and sourcing of input assumptions
- Reduce the lead time required when conducting scenario analysis of 5- to 30-year futures.
The NREL Standard Scenarios product is a suite of forward-looking power sector scenarios that NREL analysts use in NREL's long-term capacity expansion model (the Regional Energy Deployment System, or ReEDS) and its market deployment model (the Distributed Generation Market Demand Model, or dGen). The scenarios are updated each year, and they use technology cost and performance assumptions documented in the Electricity ATB.
For analysis of specific renewable energy systems at the project level, NREL offers the System Advisor Model (SAM) techno-economic modeling software.
Each year, the ATB is led by NREL, assembled by a team of analysts from the U.S. Department of Energy's national laboratories, and sponsored by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE).
The 2022 ATB national laboratory team members include:
- Land-based wind: Tyler Stehly, NREL
- Offshore wind: Patrick Duffy and Philipp Beiter, NREL
- Distributed wind: Parangat Bhaskar, NREL
- Solar: Photovoltaics (PV): David Feldman and Jarett Zuboy, NREL
- Solar: Concentrating solar power (CSP): Chad Augustine and Parthiv Kurup, NREL
- Hydropower: Gbadebo Oladosu, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
- Geothermal: Jody Robins, NREL
- Battery storage: Vignesh Ramasamy and Nate Blair, NREL
- Utility-scale PV-plus-battery: Caitlin Murphy and Vignesh Ramasamy, NREL
- Pumped storage hydropower: Stuart Cohen and Evan Rosenlieb, NREL
- Nuclear and biopower (Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration): Wesley Cole and Pieter Gagnon, NREL
- Fossil technologies (Data from DOE Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management source): Jeffrey Hoffmann, DOE Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management
- Finance: David Feldman, NREL
- Project coordination: Laura Vimmerstedt, NREL
- Data and documentation development: Sertac Akar, Brian Mirletz, Ashok Sekar, and Dana Stright, NREL
- Website production: Mike Bannister and Jeremy Jenkins, NREL
- Editing: Greg Avery, Mike Meshek, Matt Prilliman, NREL.
The DOE manager of the ATB is Ookie Ma.
ATB Technical Review Committee
A technical review committee reviews the ATB each year. The committee:
- Reviews objectives and approach, and offers suggestions where appropriate to strengthen the annual process and resolve technical issues that arise;
- Provides suggestions to improve the accuracy, clarity, and understanding of the work;
- Helps to ensure that the study:
- Builds upon prior peer-reviewed, related technical work
- Is informed by data sources and findings from recent and current related research;
- Reviews and comments on draft results to ensure that findings are based on facts and accurate engineering and science.
The ATB Technical Review Committee is composed of leading experts from industry, consulting, government, and academia with specialties in energy analysis, renewable electricity generation technology research, development, and deployment; electrical grid operation and technology integration; and project finance.
The ATB, which is supported by the DOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) Strategic Analysis team, leverages and continues significant activity funded by DOE, including individual technologies and market segments within EERE, as well as the Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management.
We recommend you cite the 2022 ATB as NREL (2022) and reference it as:
NREL (National Renewable Energy Laboratory). 2022. "2022 Annual Technology Baseline." Golden, CO:
National Renewable Energy Laboratory. https://atb.nrel.gov/.