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About the 2024 Electricity ATB

Purpose

With the increasing reliance of energy analysis on data and modeling tools, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) developed the Annual Technology Baseline (ATB) products to:

  • Document transparent, normalized technology cost and performance assumptions using published sources
  • Document potential pathways for impacts of research and development (R&D) on renewable energy technologies
  • Enable consistency in technology assumptions across analysis projects
  • Facilitate the tracking and sourcing of input assumptions
  • Reduce the lead time required when conducting scenario analysis of 5- to 30-year futures.

Related Work

The ATB is one of many data products and tools that the NREL energy analysis staff provides.

The NREL Standard Scenarios product is a suite of forward-looking power sector scenarios that NREL analysts use in its long-term capacity expansion model (the Regional Energy Deployment System, or ReEDS) and its market deployment model (the Distributed Generation Market Demand Model, or dGen). The scenarios are updated each year, and they use technology cost and performance assumptions documented in the Electricity ATB.

For analysis of specific renewable energy systems at the project level, NREL offers the System Advisor Model (SAM) techno-economic modeling software.

NREL's resource assessment interactive maps and geospatial data tools such as RE Atlas can be used to identify resource data of interest.

ATB Team

Each year, the ATB is led by NREL, assembled by a team of analysts from the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE's) national laboratories, and sponsored by DOE.

The 2024 ATB national laboratory team members include the following:

  • Land-based wind: Tyler Stehly, Annika Eberle, Owen Roberts, and Daniel Mulas Hernando, NREL
  • Offshore wind: Patrick Duffy, Becca Fuchs, Daniel Mulas Hernando, and Gabriel Zuckerman, NREL
  • Distributed wind: Tyler Stehly and Owen Roberts, NREL
  • Solar: Photovoltaics (PV): David Feldman and Jarett Zuboy, NREL
  • Solar: Concentrating solar power: Parthiv Kurup and Alex Zolan, NREL
  • Hydropower: Gbadebo Oladosu, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
  • Geothermal: Dayo Akindipe and Erik Witter, NREL
  • Battery storage: Vignesh Ramasamy and Wesley Cole, NREL
  • Utility-scale PV-plus-battery: Vignesh Ramasamy and Anna Schleifer, NREL
  • Pumped storage hydropower: Stuart Cohen and Evan Rosenlieb, NREL
  • Nuclear: Abdalla Abou Jaoude, Levi Larsen, Chris Lohse, Nahuel Guaita, Ishita Trivedi, and Fred Joseck, INL
  • Biopower (data from U.S. Energy Information Administration): Wesley Cole, NREL
  • Fossil technologies (data from DOE Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management): Jeffrey Hoffmann, DOE Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management
  • Finance: Ty Hedalen, Ben Rakov, David Feldman, and Brian Mirletz, NREL
  • Project coordination: Laura Vimmerstedt and Brian Mirletz, NREL
  • Data and documentation development: Greg Avery, Ashok Sekar, and Dana Stright, NREL
  • Website production: Mike Bannister and Jeremy Jenkins, NREL
  • Editing: Emily Horvath, Kai Lepley, Silvana Ovaitt, and Ben Rakov, NREL.

The DOE manager of the ATB is Paul Spitsen.

ATB Technical Review Committee

A technical review committee reviews the ATB each year. The committee:

  • Reviews objectives and approach and offers suggestions, where appropriate, to strengthen the annual process and resolve technical issues that arise
  • Provides suggestions to improve the accuracy, clarity, and understanding of the work
  • Helps ensure the study:
    • Builds on prior peer-reviewed, related technical work
    • Is informed by data sources and findings from recent and current related research
    • Reviews and comments on draft results to ensure findings are based on facts and accurate engineering and science.

The ATB technical review committee comprises leading experts from industry, consulting, government, academia, and nonprofits with specialties in energy analysis; electricity generation technology research, development, and deployment; electric grid operation and technology integration; and project finance.

ATB Sponsor

The ATB, which is supported by the DOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) Strategic Analysis team, leverages and continues significant activity funded by DOE, including individual technologies and market segments within EERE as well as the Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management and the Office of Nuclear Energy through the Gateway for Accelerated Innovation in Nuclear.

Recommended Citation

We recommend you cite the 2024 ATB as NREL (2024) and reference it as:

NREL (National Renewable Energy Laboratory). 2024. "2024 Annual Technology Baseline." Golden, CO: National Renewable Energy Laboratory. https://atb.nrel.gov/

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